South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89f94fb414feb41ec1d6947aa56aae82df23e1d0a5d9e01ac6ee810a81bc29d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 71c | 1,129$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 577.56$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 527.35$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 476.53$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 394.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 372.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 337.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 271.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 29c | 228.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…a06abacked No | 72c | 223.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 201.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed No | 77c | 192.4$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 191.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 183.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed Yes | 29c | 155.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 17c | 152.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 143.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 142.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 142$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 17c | 124.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked No | 72c | 112.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…f579backed Yes | 31c | 108.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 27c | 89.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 84.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 77.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 72c | 70.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 21c | 68.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 66.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 31c | 61.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 71c | 61.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Yes | 32c | 38.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 71c | 20.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.