South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c5d98bef9b95da627fb59168eb32f011babfd73ea05ea1f8764e013dd29204c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 23c | 2,447$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.33 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 14c | 1,411$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 8c | 1,181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked No | 74c | 997.7$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed No | 73c | 486.71$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 15c | 474.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 23c | 456.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 16c | 421.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 27c | 399.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 74c | 318.84$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 25c | 298.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 295.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 242.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 202.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…f579backed Yes | 17c | 195.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 17c | 188.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 21c | 180.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 16c | 142.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 15c | 128.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 23c | 127.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 27c | 114.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 19c | 102.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 98.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…6dbfbacked Yes | 13c | 92.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 90.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…d1e5backed Yes | 27c | 88.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 76c | 84.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 82.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 78.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 75c | 74.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 69.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 72c | 64.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Yes | 22c | 63.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…28eebacked Yes | 27c | 60.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 59.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…17eabacked Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f2…0e09backed Yes | 29c | 42.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 79c | 40.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 35.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 74c | 33.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…4ba1backed No | 75c | 33.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…4ca9backed No | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 74c | 26.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 75c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 77c | 25.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 22.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 74c | 22.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 74c | 22.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 22.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 73c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 74c | 16.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.