Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb13f6b8d71126da675efa729db06d61f6a786239f5de5367ca37a828e484d034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 46c | 1,792$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.66 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 55c | 1,620$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.37 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 32c | 1,115$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.89 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 898.78$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…dff2backed Under | 53c | 705$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 636.82$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.95 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 42c | 300$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.3 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 54c | 224.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 55c | 205$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 37c | 183$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…70f8backed Under | 73c | 168.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 51c | 146.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 67c | 146.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…cf5ebacked Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 114$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 45c | 111.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 42c | 82.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 75.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 31c | 69.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 64.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…a2f3backed Under | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 38c | 60.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 48c | 54.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…b2d4backed Under | 54c | 47.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 72c | 41.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 50c | 38.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 36c | 30.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 53c | 28.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.