Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb800e6a47812700cd79b0aa0f11917ce5f75d951cd10dd87caef9615392c2e4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 53c | 10,594$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,993.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 4,500$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.91 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 2,631$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 45c | 2,237$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.03 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 55c | 1,977$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 1,146$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.29 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 951.85$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.56 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 44c | 899.97$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 54c | 659.36$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 28c | 494.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 51c | 470.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 56c | 287.63$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 55c | 247.76$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 41c | 239.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 49c | 215$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 184.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 176.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 172.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 59c | 132.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 56c | 118$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 25c | 101.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 46c | 99.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 79c | 79.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 55c | 74.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 59.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 58.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 54.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 56c | 48.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 48.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 56c | 47.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 78c | 42.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 75c | 39.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 51c | 38.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Over | 59c | 38.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…b2d4backed Over | 62c | 28.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 55c | 27.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 27.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 55c | 19.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Over | 65c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.