La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc92f6e86f4d6f779d89c9dcd3a6a661cd75055020a6831a225bcd903550cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 32c | 14,133$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.28 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 6,135$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 67c | 5,926$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.25 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 67c | 3,921$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.2 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 3,190$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.16 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Yes | 34c | 2,524$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,352$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 1,632$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.66 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 67c | 1,353$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.07 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 1,172$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.71 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 30c | 638.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 586.08$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.13 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 67c | 583.63$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 33c | 538.93$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 34c | 499.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 33c | 459.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 329.03$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 326.23$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 34c | 299.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 298.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 33c | 294.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 293.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 33c | 273.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 270.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 25c | 198.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 9c | 192.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…39d8backed Yes | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 113.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 100.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…8f16backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 65c | 94.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 78.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…e20dbacked Yes | 33c | 76.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 69c | 56.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 68c | 52.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 50.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 33c | 47.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 33c | 47.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 68c | 37.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…8702backed Yes | 30c | 35.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…dd1bbacked Yes | 31c | 34.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed No | 66c | 33.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 33c | 32.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…12e2backed No | 66c | 32.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 71c | 29.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 67c | 29.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked No | 69c | 28.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…9fffbacked No | 70c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 65c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 69c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 61c | 17.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 68c | 15.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…d7a0backed No | 71c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will SD Huesca vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.