Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd105878d7a0c8d23ad7dcf7afa2d5595eef80024e2332992735dbd786e2e03a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 36c | 1,399$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.84 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 68c | 1,093$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.62 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 889.24$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.02 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 10c | 888.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 64c | 870.05$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.72 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 782.74$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 698.97$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 573.74$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 33c | 533.39$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 36c | 499.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 455.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 420.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 339.24$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 68c | 298.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 35c | 200.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 36c | 184.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Yes | 35c | 151.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…523bbacked Yes | 36c | 149.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 67c | 119.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 111.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 66.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 66c | 60.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 50.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 31c | 48.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 40.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 63c | 40.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 64c | 39.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f0abacked No | 70c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 69c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 64c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?No won
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.