Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbafcf8261c638113f0958b19d79c1b6610299c81d9e32575bd0cee08ad65bba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 4,047$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 20c | 2,166$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.14 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 1,707$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 43c | 1,369$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 20c | 1,347$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.81 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 59c | 1,306$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.95 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 8c | 1,036$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 34c | 999.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 66c | 894.99$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.07 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 42c | 659.52$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.52 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 66c | 606.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 35c | 525.24$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 6c | 513.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 445.06$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.76 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1856backed Yes | 60c | 416.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Yes | 42c | 416.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 66c | 412.62$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.29 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 327$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked No | 15c | 279$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 36cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 22c | 199.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 178.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 38c | 161.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 31c | 146.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 144.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 60c | 133$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 42c | 125.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 124.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 119.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 100.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Yes | 41c | 88.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 60c | 80.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 22c | 79.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 40c | 79.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 75.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 65.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 38c | 61.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 43c | 50.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 50.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 57c | 48.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 36c | 42.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 42c | 37.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 40c | 35.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 42c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 66c | 25.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 67c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Yes | 65c | 17.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 70c | 15.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?No won
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.