Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35229c40e994024b9150332be85bd215b4b16500927da79a7d2b092df29c6edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 70c | 42,249$29,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,510.88 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 20,721$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.2 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…8e17backed No | 71c | 9,084$6,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 29c | 7,439$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.31 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 24c | 5,237$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.94 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 4,235$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.04 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…6f8fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,748$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 30c | 3,192$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.62 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 2,117$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.26 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 1,876$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.38 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,344$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 1,118$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.06 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 71c | 982.6$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 69c | 978.83$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 11c | 970.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 957.27$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.14 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 25c | 712.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 15c | 673.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 513.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…9c44backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 29c | 496.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.26 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 70c | 450.7$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 405.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 392.46$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 29c | 391.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 34c | 358.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 334.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 72c | 278.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 12c | 258.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 205.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 30c | 191.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 172.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…749dbacked Yes | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 159.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…108cbacked Yes | 32c | 140.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 102.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 100.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 100.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 71c | 99.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 16c | 97.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 94.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 87.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 29c | 73.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 72cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 71c | 69.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c96…8724backed Yes | 30c | 65.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716e…7e62backed Yes | 29c | 56.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 30c | 42.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 42.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 71c | 40.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 38.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c62…3d61backed No | 72c | 34.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9a2bbacked No | 71c | 22.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 71c | 20.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed No | 71c | 19.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-04-27?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.