South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89ed555d204d3034f1a0d457e645f725e356934a29c3c0b1c94883c15012d45a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 16c | 3,455$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.46 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 68c | 3,389$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.8 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 3,195$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.53 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 3,012$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.12 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,548$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.51 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 9c | 1,216$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,121$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 3c | 723.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 61c | 653.26$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 66c | 309.1$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 255.63$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.82 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 218.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed No | 66c | 189.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 158.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Yes | 31c | 146.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…2f07backed Yes | 31c | 138.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 35c | 98.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 38c | 93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 78c | 90.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 16c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 28c | 70.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 23c | 62.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…9f68backed No | 65c | 61.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 60.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes | 29c | 59.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 66c | 58.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…bd23backed Yes | 40c | 50.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…4a78backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 32c | 45.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 71c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…583ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…3198backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 38c | 27.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 69c | 23.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 69c | 20.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 67c | 19.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.