Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24295b9c7fabffb55f999080a2463fb78c5d6a5d8380631fdecdd910f32fed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 26c | 27,414$7,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,180.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 24,918$18,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,508.53 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 30c | 13,294$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,354.33 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 19c | 8,377$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,748.59 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 23c | 4,327$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.92 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 3,129$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.97 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…7212backed Yes | 33c | 2,555$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked No | 65c | 1,600$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 1,527$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.19 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,387$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.77 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f6…fc9bbacked No | 74c | 1,374$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 75c | 1,266$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 20c | 1,251$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 70c | 1,168$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 16c | 1,145$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 34c | 1,131$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.16 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,110$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 1,060$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.57 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 67c | 1,045$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed No | 77c | 1,039$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.73 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…bd9cbacked Yes | 28c | 982.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 32c | 886.44$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 65c | 859.12$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Yes | 25c | 811.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 67c | 794.8$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 75c | 667.23$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 71c | 652.45$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.02 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…d3a5backed Yes | 31c | 608.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed No | 64c | 600$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 25c | 558.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 70c | 536$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 74c | 499.22$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 20 | 100%20 W · 0 L | +5.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 65c | 498.93$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 19c | 433.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.5 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 61c | 385.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 18c | 372.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.86 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 68c | 369.87$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 36c | 360.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 66c | 334.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 294.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.07 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 18c | 284.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 70c | 250$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 28c | 243.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 13c | 230.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed No | 72c | 229.2$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked No | 68c | 212.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 20c | 183.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 181$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…4ffebacked Yes | 43c | 180.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 24c | 158.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…8df9backed Yes | 15c | 152$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 75c | 149.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 17c | 141.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…734cbacked Yes | 18c | 125.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 50c | 118.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 31c | 111.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 78c | 108.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…84bbbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…8627backed Yes | 30c | 98.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 16c | 98.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…2c14backed Yes | 38c | 93.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…8c4fbacked Yes | 75c | 92.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…9f9bbacked No | 80c | 85.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Yes | 27c | 84.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 30c | 82.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 21c | 81.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 66c | 73.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…4fe3backed Yes | 37c | 66.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 68c | 63.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…d842backed No | 73c | 54.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked No | 71c | 48.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee0…2fc9backed No | 68c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Yes | 36c | 40.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…985ebacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf64…e473backed Yes | 29c | 37.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 75c | 33.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…d4dabacked No | 68c | 28.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 70c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…c515backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.