Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87048a8fef6099076bd3c356f0a62cdd5c6bdd8ab4fd9d0c11afa9d1c4650cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 21,644$14,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,151.19 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 35c | 13,447$4,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,723.4 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 32c | 7,951$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.32 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 34c | 7,661$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,292$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.44 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…93debacked Yes | 36c | 2,000$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 65c | 1,669$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.15 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f6…fc9bbacked No | 68c | 1,469$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Yes | 34c | 1,332$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 33c | 1,314$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.99 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 38c | 1,180$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.38 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…7212backed Yes | 39c | 1,143$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,112$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.31 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 1,101$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 60c | 1,001$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.52 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 988.94$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.82 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 64c | 965.15$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 799.49$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 34c | 787.16$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 38c | 752.31$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 37c | 749.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 32c | 707.11$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 38c | 703.44$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 19c | 651.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 64c | 647.69$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…d3a5backed Yes | 39c | 570.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 40c | 549.49$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.51 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 20c | 521$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 61c | 498.05$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…bd9cbacked Yes | 37c | 495.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 62c | 454.16$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 63c | 445$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 35c | 379.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 40c | 375.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 336.26$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 9c | 329.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 45c | 317.93$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…3f8dbacked Yes | 41c | 298.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 60c | 286.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 280.48$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 40c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed No | 65c | 238.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…75f7backed Yes | 23c | 204.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 28c | 159.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 152$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 146$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes | 40c | 125.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…734cbacked Yes | 38c | 108.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…8627backed Yes | 38c | 104.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 65c | 100.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 28c | 98.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…c39ebacked Yes | 42c | 95.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…9f6dbacked No | 61c | 88.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 62c | 73.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…5844backed Yes | 44c | 68.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Yes | 36c | 61.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…1dfbbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 68c | 58.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 63c | 55.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 48c | 52.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…ec81backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…140abacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…fae5backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 32c | 49.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 73c | 45.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…f4cabacked Yes | 35c | 42.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278e…6a5ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…985ebacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Yes | 35c | 36.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…1838backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…7b9dbacked No | 71c | 29.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked No | 63c | 26.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Yes | 40c | 26.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 61c | 24.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…56d1backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 62c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…9f9bbacked No | 70c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34e…bb55backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?Yes won
- Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 4.0% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.