Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd202216d40d3c7b5620e3b617a239e85cd4c527c9389873de45306fe8730e2d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 11,586$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 1c | 1,992$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,037$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.47 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,007$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 8c | 804.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 61c | 733.62$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 34c | 639.76$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.58 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 25c | 597.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…3f68backed Yes | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 341$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.22 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…169dbacked No | 45c | 327.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.69 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…bc49backed Yes | 10c | 242.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 22c | 229.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 221$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 219.28$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 39c | 212.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 207$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 29c | 189.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 188.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 29c | 186.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 38c | 163.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 68c | 147.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 14c | 146$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 26c | 139.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 70c | 139.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 74c | 136.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 49c | 136.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 45c | 129.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 44c | 129$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 29c | 127.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 40c | 126.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 47c | 125.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 122.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…27a9backed No | 37c | 121.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 41c | 119.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…999ebacked Yes | 30c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 35c | 112.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 30c | 103.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 23c | 96.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 23c | 96.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…58f9backed No | 24c | 94.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…3047backed No | 63c | 91.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked No | 72c | 91.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 23c | 90.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 56c | 89.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 55c | 88.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 46c | 88.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 35c | 86.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…5d00backed Yes | 35c | 84.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 46c | 84.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…254cbacked Yes | 49c | 82.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 37c | 81.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 31c | 80.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked No | 27c | 80.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 43c | 80.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…0c32backed Yes | 75c | 75.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 49c | 72.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 37c | 71.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 42c | 71.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…190ebacked Yes | 36c | 68.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked No | 71c | 68.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…3fb3backed Yes | 26c | 64.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 58c | 64.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 57c | 63.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 32c | 62.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 30c | 60.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Yes | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…682fbacked Yes | 28c | 59.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 57.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…a6e2backed Yes | 37c | 54.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 22c | 54.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked Yes | 37c | 54.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…a4ccbacked Yes | 73c | 52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 70c | 51.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 74c | 50.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…79c4backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 63c | 48.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 65c | 47.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 75c | 46.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 29c | 46.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 33c | 45.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…b5f7backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…642fbacked Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…4e79backed Yes | 34c | 44.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed Yes | 32c | 43.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…2895backed Yes | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 30c | 42.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.