MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7e2213a960b49fa6cf8ddef6a33dda48878a03d9ca816d15ae4fa90101d0e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 34,091$14,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,002.25 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 31,416$16,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,563.34 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 27,161$14,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,032.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 22,886$6,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,115.12 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 21,432$13,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,565.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 17,736$10,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,819.24 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 13,646$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.44 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 12,123$7,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382.4 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 10,000$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 5,973$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.48 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 5,268$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +931.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 3,612$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 3,432$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.62 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 3,418$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.36 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 3,192$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.32 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,969$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.44 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 2,846$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 2,796$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.61 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 2,682$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,313$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.16 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 2,188$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,038$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.38 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 1,664$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,595$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,563$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.43 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 1,505$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 1,450$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,388$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 1,233$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 1,133$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.85 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 1,077$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…d406backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 1,004$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 866.59$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.51 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 825$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 808.17$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.43 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 753.59$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.19 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 750$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 750$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 729$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.4 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 695$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 684.33$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 605.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 519.59$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.95 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 501$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 499.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 485.75$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 448.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 429.27$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 361$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 327.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 320$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 317.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 316.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 306.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 302.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 300$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 295.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 289.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 274.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 270.95$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 267.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 257.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 253$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 224.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 222.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 220.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…e4bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 207$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 202.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 199.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Minnesota Twins | 73c | 197.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 190.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 188.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 177$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 171.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 169.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 160.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 153$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 142.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 141.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 139.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 139.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 130$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 114.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 113.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9586…de67backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 111.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.