Australian A League · resolved market
Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d8eb20762f0a07de48019b4471ae2cea1b5f898c66d5ce86d2e100be7a5473a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.86 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 11,933$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.86 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 1,591$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.61 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 1,550$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 31c | 1,514$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 68c | 1,461$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.54 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 1,007$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 13c | 935.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 29c | 740.18$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.17 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 667.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 492.75$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Under | 25c | 397.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 22c | 375.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 31c | 339.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 31c | 298.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 25c | 279.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 273.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 66c | 265$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 240.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 63c | 233.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 66c | 222.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 66c | 200.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 67c | 191.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 33c | 179.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 177.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 69c | 158$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Over | 67c | 149.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 21c | 119.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 98.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 11c | 92.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…05f7backed Over | 66c | 87.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Over | 68c | 73.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…c3e2backed Under | 33c | 73.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 57.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 33c | 54.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 68c | 46.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 64c | 44.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Under | 33c | 37.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 34c | 35.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 34c | 31.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Under | 34c | 31.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…1191backed Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…6ca2backed Over | 66c | 22.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.