TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,755 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Over46c29,957$13,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,176.691323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c12,975$6,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,944.4698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c8,500$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,59019345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over46c7,846$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,245.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under54c6,010$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.32040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under57c5,981$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.3722652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c5,037$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.0833444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under54c4,944$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.6411055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under54c1,817$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.334238.1%16 W · 26 L-7.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over45c1,555$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.731850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c885.56$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under46c721.84$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.368139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under37c662.52$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over41c637.74$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.045925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over61c617.28$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.286958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under17c596.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.482740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over47c531.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.96946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Under54c440.74$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23880%0 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over46c433.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.724818.8%9 W · 39 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over68c402.28$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.732450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under15c373.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.719849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Over46c340.24$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003452.9%18 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-16.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over62c308.47$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.224854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over80c277$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.44163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under20c253$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.62653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over45c221.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.746243.5%27 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.87365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c198.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2924732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c139.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6934937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Under57c123.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under56c107.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-77.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under55c91.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c87.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4232453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over48c83.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.073938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over60c82.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.926650%33 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Under32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+127.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under54c77.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.919550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under54c73.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c67.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.034946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over46c63.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.194835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under50c61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.465259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.192846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.637425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under36c51.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.431833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2623551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over58c38.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.822445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under54c35.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.446162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Under57c35.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c34.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9114755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under59c32.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.313455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under55c31.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5414955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over45c29.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over41c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1113149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over64c28.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over44c26.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.871050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over44c25.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.22751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over43c25.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f3…2bc6backed Under49c23.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed6a…841ebacked Under55c22.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over45c22.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over60c22.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa741…dce1backed Under54c21.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…ae82backed Under55c21.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa288…401cbacked Under56c21.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+67.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked Under55c20.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa5…a516backed Over72c19.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c2…e0f9backed Over78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under54c19.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over65c16.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.912972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.