Australian A League · resolved market
Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x808d5294ababed7639b04c00a9ee5cd31924278f757f433b2abf3cbd1660cb0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,872$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.92 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 31c | 931$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.39 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 45c | 659.97$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 452.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 381.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 58c | 377.53$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…2ccebacked No | 39c | 254.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 33c | 237$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 32c | 179.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 31c | 156.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 64c | 155.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 57c | 136$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 63c | 117.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 105.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 87.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 41c | 60.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 52c | 56.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 51c | 45.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 63c | 39.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 32c | 36.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…db4cbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 23.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…dca9backed Yes | 65c | 20.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Yes | 68c | 20.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2bc6backed No | 64c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Yes | 66c | 15.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.