TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$492,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$537,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ca8…1a39backed No65c54,009$35,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,105.643154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No64c49,968$31,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,979.6524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No34c44,508$15,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,132.7327750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes35c28,206$9,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,251.585324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes36c25,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes36c24,633$8,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,788.211,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c14,598$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.751,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c13,915$9,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,379.456,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No6c12,964$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.6179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes36c9,093$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,810.631,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes35c7,600$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,932.591,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes37c5,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1509845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes35c4,807$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.561,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes37c4,547$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.2358445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes35c4,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60012642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5601650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c3,459$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.794,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6066…3021backed Yes37c3,144$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ac…c6f3backed Yes37c2,907$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5381…687dbacked No63c2,831$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No64c2,702$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.231369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f14…23debacked No63c2,559$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes35c2,500$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6253336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes69c2,443$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.462,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…4f53backed Yes37c2,262$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+76.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f7…cf59backed No63c2,166$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No36c2,165$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.756048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1293…ff5abacked No63c2,083$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd67a…74d6backed Yes37c2,080$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes36c2,000$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.7714147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9720448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be0…b619backed Yes37c1,857$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+99.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6589…77c5backed Yes37c1,728$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes36c1,667$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.6753134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3398…4de3backed No63c1,618$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d4…e4fabacked No63c1,599$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+63.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d9…8058backed No63c1,515$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-11.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9609843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9860728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes35c1,497$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.1939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No63c1,495$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.8541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes66c1,463$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.1640150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes71c1,434$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes34c1,418$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.1514254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88b7…57fcbacked No63c1,354$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.02650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.355042%21 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.352133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x472b…8fa1backed Yes37c1,328$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc21…af3ebacked Yes37c1,277$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.51650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x114f…3c61backed Yes37c1,253$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…543ebacked Yes37c1,220$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x466d…bd6cbacked No63c1,202$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc12d…9c35backed Yes37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b2e…8dfebacked No63c1,199$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.37850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes38c1,171$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.2136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x473c…b654backed No63c1,169$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.47757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bc…b74cbacked No63c1,151$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b6…7906backed Yes37c1,126$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.38580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8d…d04fbacked No63c1,113$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7640…ece8backed Yes37c1,111$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f79…5917backed No63c1,101$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No9c1,096$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2111430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b79…6023backed No63c1,084$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6850…4aa9backed No63c1,055$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c1,051$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.11,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61c…1e8cbacked Yes37c1,010$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+85.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab19…f7fabacked Yes37c985$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No64c953.67$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.3521154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…6badbacked No63c938$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556d…a234backed No63c869$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29e5…74e2backed Yes37c831$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f8a…720fbacked No63c830$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8620…d8bcbacked Yes37c828$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc8…d895backed No63c806$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.78616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcd0…32d6backed Yes37c801$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+75.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e7…c9dfbacked Yes37c798$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6601…72ccbacked Yes37c754$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…9076backed Yes37c746$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d7…ce85backed Yes37c734$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9b…7511backed No63c725$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda58…a6bbbacked Yes37c724$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb49…444abacked Yes37c721$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes36c716.99$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45bf…a76dbacked Yes37c712$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b73…77edbacked Yes37c705$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes35c699.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9919735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa874…8f6ebacked No63c693$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Yes59c646.3$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.295754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No48c630.38$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…d1dcbacked No63c619$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.97955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad24…f606backed No63c617$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed No66c606.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835a…688ebacked Yes37c585$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe065…4b83backed Yes37c585$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ee…0e2fbacked No63c557$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3ba8…3ca8backed Yes37c556.25$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.