Us Politics · resolved market
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee101a78c5c63194c179f719477f0f302635cbe571c16f3329ad82fbc9a8038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd572…7c23backed Yes | 4c | 4,179$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f33…e601backed Yes | 5c | 3,970$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa4…8d4fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,956$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…901cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,804$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…b5bbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,721$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…aa7cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,697$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…f725backed Yes | 5c | 3,219$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c1…2337backed Yes | 5c | 3,091$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…ec7abacked Yes | 6c | 3,055$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…effdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,898$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f59…58fcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,826$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…212fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,783$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…5145backed Yes | 5c | 2,719$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…d63abacked Yes | 5c | 2,489$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 2,456$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…db6cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,453$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…701abacked Yes | 5c | 2,366$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…3f8fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,361$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…159abacked Yes | 5c | 2,353$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a6…562abacked Yes | 5c | 2,312$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 14c | 2,306$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +10.8wins | +0.41per pick | 24cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…088fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,246$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…2335backed Yes | 5c | 2,188$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…4310backed Yes | 6c | 2,149$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…cfc4backed Yes | 5c | 2,145$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…8050backed Yes | 5c | 2,129$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…a836backed Yes | 5c | 2,129$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…4124backed Yes | 5c | 2,111$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…f0fbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,075$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…ee62backed Yes | 5c | 2,036$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…f821backed Yes | 6c | 2,019$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…51bcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,019$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…819dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,006$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…9293backed Yes | 6c | 1,995$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…e0d1backed Yes | 6c | 1,995$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…f572backed Yes | 5c | 1,992$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…3731backed Yes | 5c | 1,990$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…1236backed Yes | 5c | 1,979$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1e…f880backed Yes | 5c | 1,927$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…093abacked Yes | 6c | 1,915$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,893$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…5954backed Yes | 6c | 1,887$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…992abacked Yes | 6c | 1,887$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…a9c1backed Yes | 5c | 1,875$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…e5dfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,836$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…2dc9backed Yes | 5c | 1,830$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…793dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,826$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…3effbacked Yes | 6c | 1,822$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…0b96backed Yes | 5c | 1,820$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…2d5cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,788$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…db0dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,780$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…dd4dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,778$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…5965backed Yes | 5c | 1,751$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…e367backed Yes | 6c | 1,707$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…93e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,692$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad0…692cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,680$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130d…5c0fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,634$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…2d4cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,626$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…78d4backed Yes | 5c | 1,617$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec1…25d8backed Yes | 6c | 1,609$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da6…08cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,587$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…d7f5backed Yes | 5c | 1,586$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196d…1e02backed Yes | 5c | 1,584$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb23…23c1backed Yes | 5c | 1,564$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…d973backed Yes | 6c | 1,543$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…970abacked Yes | 5c | 1,529$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…50a9backed Yes | 5c | 1,524$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06f…f952backed Yes | 6c | 1,495$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…c0f1backed Yes | 5c | 1,461$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…1f84backed Yes | 6c | 1,458$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…6faabacked Yes | 5c | 1,445$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e6…a8adbacked Yes | 5c | 1,437$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…0d76backed Yes | 5c | 1,424$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…0772backed Yes | 6c | 1,413$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…cad4backed Yes | 6c | 1,376$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…5973backed Yes | 5c | 1,364$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…e58cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,358$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Yes | 7c | 1,349$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf5…67c9backed Yes | 5c | 1,344$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…5d1abacked Yes | 5c | 1,331$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…5c17backed Yes | 5c | 1,293$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf089…ef21backed Yes | 6c | 1,291$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…b9f2backed Yes | 6c | 1,288$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…8b5fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,287$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…2d53backed Yes | 6c | 1,256$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 1,252$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3220…f613backed Yes | 5c | 1,246$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…fd33backed Yes | 5c | 1,232$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7666…f21bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,227$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…dfa3backed Yes | 6c | 1,226$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…c2a7backed Yes | 5c | 1,186$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…761cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,165$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…0ad6backed Yes | 5c | 1,162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedca…a9a5backed Yes | 5c | 1,110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…70c2backed Yes | 5c | 1,107$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc7…cf33backed Yes | 6c | 1,103$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…c0d6backed Yes | 5c | 1,103$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb35…7446backed Yes | 4c | 1,097$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…6ad4backed Yes | 5c | 1,096$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?this page
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes won
- Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
- Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.