Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de3925925f05e8a35931166f0446ad22084262145ffa467b4e37c80d2b6e7bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,121 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 41c | 19,605$7,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,632.65 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 59c | 9,684$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.07 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 43c | 8,512$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,857.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 60c | 6,578$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.62 | 128 | 20.3%26 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 40c | 4,505$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.72 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…25a4backed No | 3c | 3,400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 40c | 3,020$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.1 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 58c | 1,910$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.43 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 43c | 1,885$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.82 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 1,783$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.67 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 14c | 1,570$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 1,421$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.52 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 43c | 1,178$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 41c | 1,131$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,087$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 55c | 896.07$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 830.48$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.79 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…66f2backed Yes | 45c | 700$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 60c | 651.67$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.51 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…6f46backed Yes | 43c | 625.18$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bc…2450backed Yes | 50c | 595.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed Yes | 45c | 553.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…e6f2backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…9947backed Yes | 44c | 482.37$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 45c | 469.15$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 44c | 400.49$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 42c | 400$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 381.79$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 42c | 354.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.81 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 59c | 353.72$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 40c | 342.68$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…e88cbacked Yes | 42c | 331.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 41c | 319.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…c50ebacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 41c | 272.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 42c | 234.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…413bbacked Yes | 45c | 222.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 42c | 209.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…a0bfbacked Yes | 43c | 201.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 59c | 201$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked Yes | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 43c | 182.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 40c | 181.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 42c | 181.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…560dbacked Yes | 45c | 181$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…9e2cbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc3…f918backed Yes | 47c | 176.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 47c | 165.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…d3a5backed Yes | 51c | 156.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…1228backed Yes | 42c | 151$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…1644backed Yes | 42c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…10adbacked Yes | 45c | 143$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 63c | 140.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 56c | 140.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…402dbacked Yes | 44c | 139$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…170ebacked Yes | 43c | 128$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0682…63e0backed Yes | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…36edbacked Yes | 49c | 127$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 50c | 121.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…e8e3backed Yes | 44c | 119.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ec…6c90backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7c…d9b6backed Yes | 44c | 114.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Yes | 39c | 111.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 105.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 55c | 105.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 96.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…3f8dbacked Yes | 44c | 90.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 34c | 87.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 59c | 84.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 58c | 81.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 43c | 79.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…bcb8backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…649dbacked Yes | 41c | 70.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 48c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff6…f5abbacked No | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5e8abacked Yes | 40c | 63.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…ef57backed Yes | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…9f33backed No | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…020bbacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe670…aa55backed Yes | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4bb6backed No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea91…0ae4backed Yes | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…f766backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…456ebacked Yes | 38c | 58.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 51c | 50.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 41c | 47.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?this page
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?No won
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.