Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1691f094b3dfb3bd39ab6b9d1c41792a2421aa3438f23b1aae64b7cbbb601d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,071 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 44c | 18,795$8,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,481.04 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 44c | 10,773$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,050.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 57c | 9,438$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.03 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…e6f2backed No | 57c | 6,695$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.03 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 42c | 4,014$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.79 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…25a4backed No | 2c | 2,800$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 12c | 2,550$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 1,847$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.63 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 16c | 1,800$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 56c | 1,551$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.66 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 1,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 46c | 1,193$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.58 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 41c | 1,158$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 44c | 1,125$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.36 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 573.35$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.64 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 56c | 462.39$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea8…36efbacked No | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 16c | 343$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 44c | 282.02$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…b66bbacked Yes | 44c | 269.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 45c | 266.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.76 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 42c | 242.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 59c | 241.45$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 222.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 59c | 214$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed No | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…8b66backed Yes | 46c | 183$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…8cd0backed Yes | 46c | 181$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…9b20backed Yes | 46c | 179$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…59bfbacked Yes | 45c | 167$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6188…3373backed Yes | 45c | 167$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…b7b8backed Yes | 46c | 164$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…c0d1backed Yes | 47c | 149$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…6a7fbacked Yes | 47c | 143$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 43c | 141.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.61 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…5a60backed Yes | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…db3abacked Yes | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 29c | 134.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 114.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 45c | 110.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 47c | 109.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 44c | 109.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 309 | 18.1%56 W · 253 L | -29.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Yes | 43c | 97.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…e93fbacked No | 54c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…3c9abacked No | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 43c | 79.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 43c | 76.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0734…9cdabacked No | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…7fc7backed No | 58c | 74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f8…ed27backed No | 55c | 69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked No | 63c | 62.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…fbb3backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…9fc6backed No | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4380…7d8dbacked No | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 53c | 54.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 55c | 54.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…a968backed No | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 60c | 52.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…103bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…005dbacked No | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…fe59backed No | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…27fabacked No | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…1946backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…a65fbacked No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24b…6f2bbacked No | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…13edbacked Yes | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 45c | 43.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…f3f4backed No | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…7901backed No | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed4…c3b5backed No | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…4d2abacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a911backed No | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…7153backed Yes | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…78c0backed No | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…2d34backed No | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…1912backed Yes | 47c | 37.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…d2ecbacked No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…8c47backed Yes | 34c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…5e8abacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…390ebacked No | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 34.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2788…3c32backed No | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 55c | 32.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 54c | 31.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 60c | 31.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…b1dbbacked No | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed No | 55c | 30.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.