TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No62c52,754$32,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,828.4229446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes38c19,751$7,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,468.661,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes36c8,503$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.284936.7%18 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c6,813$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.422,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c4,142$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.958,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes39c2,575$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes38c2,426$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.798321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes34c2,301$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.411,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes25c2,283$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes35c1,785$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.3965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b8…ceb1backed Yes39c1,459$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes16c1,253$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No66c1,108$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.721,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No66c1,079$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.862,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No66c1,068$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.11,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37011245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes40c847.66$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c841.44$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.493,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c780.45$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.435,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes26c740.34$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2715424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No71c725.37$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.681384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes37c708$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.491,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes37c701.89$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.716653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c689.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.41,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes35c644.14$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4626160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes35c634.48$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9119056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes35c602.45$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5911856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes35c602.45$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5947756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes35c602.45$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes35c579.82$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes35c575.1$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4336757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes35c575.1$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4316759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes35c575.1$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4315956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes37c531.28$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5728158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes37c506.02$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.231,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes32c501$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.635145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9221…9419backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…13adbacked Yes34c481.2$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes37c473.76$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes18c454.63$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0521132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c433.34$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.891,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c420.63$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1220846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes38c371.19$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.531,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes32c346.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5520059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No63c306.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3510155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes30c299.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.941145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No68c283$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.567852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes32c283$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.567247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes16c277$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.56043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c266.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4849535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes34c265$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.148922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes37c263.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5118154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No62c262$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5621349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No62c234.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.321345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No76c213.33$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.211,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes26c207$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.551,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f4…2a4abacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes37c146.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1234155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea80…41afbacked Yes34c146.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Yes38c144.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes37c135.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0563657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes37c135.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0516160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c40…7c34backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes16c133$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.557839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c6b…340bbacked Yes37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes37c128.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5138861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No67c126$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.589763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes36c117.62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.938350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes37c111.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.182454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No62c106.69$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5410564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes16c106.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb271…34d4backed Yes28c104.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8f…ae52backed Yes27c96.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa92b…8cb5backed Yes37c95.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+174.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No64c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.78261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No63c89.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.34163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes22c89.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027031.5%85 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.95060%30 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7095…8319backed Yes17c77.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Yes36c72.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No63c72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2724654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No68c69.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1319356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes37c66.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.761,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No62c66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.942,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.