TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No70c10,014$7,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,044.851,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c4,114$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.841,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c3,569$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.841,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes44c1,681$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.735,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No41c1,300$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5287256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes30c1,006$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.3142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No65c755.41$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No20c699.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No73c600$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4387247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…2a10backed Yes75c576.67$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No71c548.93$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.749458.5%55 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes28c381.57$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.342,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.148831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c357.01$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.53,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes39c304.55$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.291,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2198554.1%46 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2197852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No49c262.92$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5365058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc856…f642backed No55c249.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.492462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c147$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.841,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b87…7facbacked Yes28c142.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c130.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.928,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked Yes31c106.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4518733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes71c98.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4311849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c98.17$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.741,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes29c98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.581,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No43c89.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed No70c81.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No48c78.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes38c75.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.849535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40b…3914backed No53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No54c75.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7844959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No54c75.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7811856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No53c73.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9928158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No53c73.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9918154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5315158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c69.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.991,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No52c68.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No52c68.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0463657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No52c68.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No52c68.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No52c68.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0416759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No52c68.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0441256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No52c68.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0415956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No52c68.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0416160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No52c68.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0419056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c40…7c34backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.674544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No28c63.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc2…739fbacked Yes47c59.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No38c58.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5520059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No79c57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.797839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed No77c57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.895145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c55.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2336…b150backed Yes73c50.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes38c48.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0215424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No27c46.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.794465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd945…fbd1backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes40c42.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.29540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+224.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1cf…bfb3backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ee…b2d4backed Yes56c39.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf1a…e414backed Yes52c38.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No30c36.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1426160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Yes45c33.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked No78c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.896043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+75.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.624654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203658.3%21 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6479…7558backed No62c27.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.78650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Yes60c27.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.716756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed No48c22.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No70c21.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9829362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No56c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6489645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc510…065dbacked No62c18.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.840%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes73c17.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.725100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c15.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c14.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No73c14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.