Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6adae2d597e00676390405e9dc99b72a4092ea5fe0fc197dea902602a5ebd434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 21,815$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.12 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 71c | 1,550$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.5 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 40c | 1,270$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.22 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 1,237$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.9 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 891.53$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.32 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 648.52$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.13 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 35c | 560$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.01 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 29c | 423.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.69 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 360.19$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 30c | 340$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 22c | 198$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 196.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 9c | 188.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 67c | 184.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 67c | 178.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 41c | 149.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…a8abbacked No | 70c | 142.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 9c | 139.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 30c | 138.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 135.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 18c | 130.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 80c | 125.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 113.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 92.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 79c | 86.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 79.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 69.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 20c | 64.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 36c | 63.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 28c | 53.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked No | 45c | 42.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 48c | 39.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 33c | 39.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 37.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 29c | 34.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 61c | 34.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 33c | 33.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 65c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 71c | 29.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 60c | 27.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 66c | 24.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…2bafbacked No | 53c | 24.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 69c | 19.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 69c | 18.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj end in a draw?this page
- Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.