South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x672d485fa481a3d4b38abb79d92c8069bd178953c744ddf0eabf054bf6212566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 11,616$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.7 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 7,003$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 58c | 3,961$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.17 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 72c | 1,998$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.35 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 30c | 1,820$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.13 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,391$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.35 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 17c | 1,343$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.63 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 1,336$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.19 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 80c | 1,257$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 49c | 1,238$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.15 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 26c | 1,191$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.14 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 1,153$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 43c | 1,131$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.42 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked No | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 991.31$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.51 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 945.35$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.54 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 745$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.24 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 31c | 672.81$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.24 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 31c | 672.81$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.24 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 664.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.86 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 30c | 641.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 641.99$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 77c | 537.61$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 503.79$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 40c | 457.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.33 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 67c | 403.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Yes | 76c | 378.57$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 74c | 351.79$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 48c | 328.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Yes | 77c | 254.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked No | 41c | 240.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 52c | 188$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 40c | 186.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 58c | 173.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 157.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Yes | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 148.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 50c | 144.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 128$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 24c | 125.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 24c | 115.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 61c | 112.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…f2aabacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Yes | 54c | 98.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed No | 47c | 96.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 29c | 87.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Yes | 76c | 85.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 79.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 41c | 72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 41c | 69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 64.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Yes | 49c | 58.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…e918backed Yes | 52c | 53.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 26c | 50.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…7f0cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Yes | 80c | 47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Yes | 78c | 45.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…492abacked Yes | 43c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…0e83backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Yes | 54c | 19.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.