South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a65db775468aba86b6a85de854a63e296211ea2972f750aaf171d6233c3a8a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 23c | 26,245$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,047.94 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 22,186$17,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.03 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 11,043$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.79 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 22c | 6,777$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.36 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 11c | 4,448$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.69 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 4,438$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.14 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 18c | 4,221$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.76 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 14c | 3,588$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.27 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 13c | 3,325$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.23 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 11c | 2,397$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.42 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 2,314$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.64 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,309$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.07 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 14c | 2,167$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.33 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 49c | 2,131$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.79 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 1,996$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 1,772$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.48 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 30c | 1,398$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.2 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 1,328$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.31 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 16c | 1,178$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,136$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.36 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed No | 79c | 1,120$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,004$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.62 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 23c | 983.61$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.73 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed No | 65c | 964.8$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.46 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 14c | 875.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes | 3c | 740.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 20c | 728.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 622.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 537.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 480.78$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 51c | 387.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 26c | 323.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 459 | 46.8%215 W · 244 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 16c | 300.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 37c | 300.41$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 49c | 259.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 204.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 41c | 198.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 65c | 188.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 55c | 147.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed No | 64c | 146.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 64c | 139.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed No | 78c | 131.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 113.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 15c | 109.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 76c | 106.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 16c | 104.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 16c | 98.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 67c | 98.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed No | 77c | 91.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 80c | 88.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed No | 49c | 81.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 62c | 77.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 72c | 75.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 20c | 71.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 68.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 43c | 64.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 49c | 59.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 39c | 50.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 79c | 50.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Yes | 41c | 49.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 48.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 44.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 44c | 44.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed No | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked No | 79c | 39.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 24.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked No | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e79…22e3backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…4865backed No | 78c | 16.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.