Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e6984b36d6c0cab454c171b3f175baadbec6fa989b7383cc5213f97995b1f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 4,920$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.06 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 3,627$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.74 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 3,420$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.61 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.74 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 27c | 3,156$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.56 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…6de3backed Yes | 1c | 2,277$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 2,089$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.04 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 949.63$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 914.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.59 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 20c | 802.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…f766backed Yes | 21c | 751.48$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes | 27c | 751.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 567.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 558.82$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 75c | 475.63$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 450.96$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 438.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 428.62$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 401.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 78c | 380.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 74c | 317.57$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 22c | 269.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 192.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 191.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 74c | 147.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…5006backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 124.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 24c | 121.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 120.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 14c | 99.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 80c | 96.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 91.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 64c | 89.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 66c | 86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 78c | 82.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…ae34backed Yes | 23c | 71.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 24c | 71.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 23c | 66.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 31c | 61.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 78c | 50.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 66c | 39.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 78c | 25.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 79c | 24.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…db73backed No | 80c | 20.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed No | 80c | 18.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 78c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.