TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No78c24,466$19,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,315.1428940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No73c14,040$10,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.572,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes21c10,714$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9451749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c6,835$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.472,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c6,204$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.025,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c4,952$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.118,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c3,886$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.151,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No79c3,496$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.9138233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes30c3,323$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes29c2,183$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.53,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes23c2,183$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.2757540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes21c1,648$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1531039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c1,615$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.411,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dac…6b71backed Yes22c1,463$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.75633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c1,268$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.151,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes27c1,031$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.219122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c1,000$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.321,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes21c900$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes40c715$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.291,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes28c659.87$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.526835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a5f…e226backed Yes22c589$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.582951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes24c583.52$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No78c560.24$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.543920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1063…58d4backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes21c438.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes21c420$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.259551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No73c367.37$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.861,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea80…41afbacked Yes15c353.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes31c343.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.825347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes28c328.58$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.857342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No70c296$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes21c267.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.171,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01db…2922backed Yes17c264.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes35c231.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0835240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x222d…90d1backed No78c230.77$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No80c212.45$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes29c175.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No76c171.33$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes31c168.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No78c164.17$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.122,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No78c149.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes21c148$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.082,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes18c138.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c128.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.131,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No77c128$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes21c128$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8817951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes25c127.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.324535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes19c127.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No80c124.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153312.1%4 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes12c100.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2618733.2%62 W · 125 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No73c97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4635046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Yes23c77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae1…2a61backed Yes29c74.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f3…4cfdbacked Yes20c71.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes23c68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6442946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes34c65.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed No72c55.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc60…6c08backed Yes24c54.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.931631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Yes20c54.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No67c51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8344843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes22c48.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.733745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes25c45.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3863061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes33c40.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5129245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No67c39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8719437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed No78c38.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.548375.9%63 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes37c34.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.516040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.315143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No78c27.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0815651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked No79c25.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.254143.9%18 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.518557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed No66c24.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-83.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.819150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No78c20.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.599054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.425345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No79c15.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2816842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.