Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9331e7ab12ee8491e43daed545d61b688af147212eb7db762c283a88d00f6d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 8c | 1,842$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 1,539$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.2 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,535$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.45 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 974.39$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.8 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 755.37$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.45 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 26c | 617.9$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.22 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 449.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.89 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 338.12$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 291.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 16c | 220$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 197.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 75c | 193.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 28c | 190.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 42c | 181.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 26c | 177.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 56c | 176$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 11c | 165.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 65c | 141.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 141$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 24c | 125.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 11c | 124.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 17c | 120.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +200.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 36c | 120.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 61c | 117.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 29c | 107.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 101$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 89.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 88.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 75c | 75.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 66c | 74.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 75c | 67.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 66.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 74c | 62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 75c | 52.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked No | 74c | 49.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 74c | 49.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 64c | 44.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Yes | 66c | 41.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 66c | 39.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…ac23backed Yes | 80c | 37.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Yes | 66c | 37.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked No | 44c | 36.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 26.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 73c | 25.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 76c | 24.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked No | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 23.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Yes | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 18.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?this page
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.