TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes66c5,083$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,363.4177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No28c2,238$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.7799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes60c1,785$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.0713952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No36c1,755$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.217549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No56c988.09$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.3811454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No58c846.16$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5887154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No36c840.75$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.47726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes29c620.49$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0323548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904025%10 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No51c499.17$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9810644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes70c497.26$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9135247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No24c493.36$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c450$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9070249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No80c450$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9072850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No18c391.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.355131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes78c350$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes17c317.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes64c289.19$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2312343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No41c271.97$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes46c255.14$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.148344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No21c251.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3113228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c251.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No50c238.3$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0410753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No44c209.49$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.698560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes55c207.81$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.32343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes68c201.14$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc117…6ddabacked No22c199.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No33c189.36$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1334…4ce4backed No37c186.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No39c175.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3641339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes48c166.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8929370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No21c164.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.12065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes22c159.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Yes34c153.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.533040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No70c149.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5615676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No25c148.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3137249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes28c143.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.641,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No55c142.97$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5819172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes71c141.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick71cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes53c129.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4330444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x217d…9419backed Yes65c125$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…aad9backed Yes17c119.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes16c109.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.431,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No63c108.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3520849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No32c106.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3512247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes47c105.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No22c104.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes79c100.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602065%13 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+98.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed No33c99.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No80c97.57$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5110960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes45c96.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8125934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes22c92.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202010%2 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed No15c86.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.672737%10 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes74c82.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes31c79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.498241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes67c78.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.638934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed No69c75.57$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes18c75.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.463259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes16c75.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92e…fcbdbacked Yes41c73.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No33c72.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6924920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Yes70c71.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No41c70.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7416853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed No30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked No33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes18c59.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74725.5%12 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick17cpaid+95.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No57c57.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes31c53.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7312346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No80c51.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.348760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes73c51.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.328851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Yes25c50.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.884247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes34c49.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5825851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed No69c42.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No48c41.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.356563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked No45c41.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.624050%20 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No68c38.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba6…c2febacked Yes67c35.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes77c33.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes44c31.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9123953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No32c31.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74456.8%25 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bba…b853backed Yes78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No37c29.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.734860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes58c28.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6816159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick70cpaid-44.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90c1…2937backed Yes77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a5…7f75backed No68c22.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes62c22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.649965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d65…7793backed Yes79c21.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed No57c21.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.063259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84e6…952dbacked Yes79c20.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451747.1%8 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick72cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156254.8%34 W · 28 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes59c18.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.74355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.