South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4725b618e3104b2cb10cf3d7382ae39cef6a9539bd5dab3d548b9bebfa1eedd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,093$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.32 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 41c | 983.23$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.03 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 27c | 630.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 56c | 385.59$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.12 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 335.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 287.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 37c | 200.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 27c | 179.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 148.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 71c | 105.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 89.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 71.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 70.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 63c | 66.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 62.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed Yes | 28c | 52.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 46.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Yes | 27c | 37.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 72c | 34.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed Yes | 75c | 33.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 74c | 32.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 72c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 73c | 26.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 73c | 26.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 71c | 25.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…cf3bbacked No | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes | 73c | 22.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 71c | 20.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 71c | 20.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 71c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 71c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 17.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…1ad2backed Yes | 80c | 15.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 15.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Yes | 73c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.