South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce600efb45fbed4fa024a6eeb3c68ae28fc58f972c212c692d5d2a9c38179de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 6,485$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 2,064$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 1,907$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 1,233$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.73 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 25c | 1,201$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 55c | 988.07$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.14 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 59c | 625$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.04 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 52c | 345$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 27c | 301$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 51c | 276.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 276.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 274$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 49c | 221.4$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 149.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 44c | 118.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed No | 76c | 103.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed No | 47c | 84.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 83.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 73.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 55c | 69.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 67.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 78c | 64.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 62.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked Yes | 60c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 59.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 49c | 47.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 45.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 44.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 24c | 43.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 25c | 41.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 37c | 41.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed No | 49c | 41.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 58c | 38.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 57c | 36.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 53c | 32.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 53c | 31.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Yes | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b2d4backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 54c | 23.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f6…21ccbacked No | 74c | 23.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 54c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 53c | 21.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 53c | 21.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 20.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked No | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 54c | 18.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 69c | 18.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 64c | 17.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 64c | 17.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-04-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.