Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c22799b15b9910129654ec8f9f46d6b9b097dc095733807d09e28799020db96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 50c | 8,786$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,364.34 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 7,384$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 77c | 1,544$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.17 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 1,506$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.6 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 22c | 847.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.27 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 655.74$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 71c | 651.72$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.72 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 29c | 623.96$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.01 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 450.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 34c | 417.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.58 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.53 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 316.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 16c | 252.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.63 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 47c | 199.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…1532backed Over | 43c | 190.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 169.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 62c | 144.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 26c | 128.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 120.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 50c | 110.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 70c | 105.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed Under | 73c | 74.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 26c | 67.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 40c | 64.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 61.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 51c | 57.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 77c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 32c | 39.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 30c | 38.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 78c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 56c | 33.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 67c | 31.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 73c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Over | 75c | 26.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 51c | 24.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 75c | 22.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)FC Famalicão won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.