Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcabbed3e178286687e545953dbd7102404818e8d47c2983b82429e7bde61b38c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 2,057$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.97 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 1,187$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 1,025$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.66 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 57c | 975.12$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 864.47$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.44 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 34c | 853.14$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…6410backed Over | 67c | 548.08$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 61c | 500.5$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 312.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 271.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 48c | 219.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 199.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 50c | 143.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 138.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 120.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 96.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 50c | 85.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 79.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 75.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 49c | 73.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 47c | 65.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 64.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 34c | 52.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 48c | 50.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 49.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 49c | 45.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 49c | 40.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Under | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 38.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 49c | 33.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 32.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 49c | 26.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 72c | 26.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 52c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 21.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4812…8758backed Over | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 58c | 18.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 17.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 61c | 16.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)FC Famalicão won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.