Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3a49bfd0c917960f11727528ccdcf54daf98882e01e859549747436c932b9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Famalicãoof SC Braga, FC Famalicão
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed SC Braga | 25c | 1,607$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.16 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed SC Braga | 24c | 1,020$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Famalicão | 75c | 792.57$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed FC Famalicão | 75c | 547.15$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Famalicão | 74c | 507.14$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed SC Braga | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed SC Braga | 27c | 421.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Famalicão | 76c | 284.91$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Famalicão | 72c | 212.11$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FC Famalicão | 76c | 189.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed SC Braga | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Famalicão | 72c | 162.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…8164backed SC Braga | 28c | 155.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed FC Famalicão | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed FC Famalicão | 76c | 129.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SC Braga | 22c | 120.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked SC Braga | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Famalicão | 74c | 113.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked FC Famalicão | 76c | 100.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Braga | 21c | 85.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked FC Famalicão | 76c | 68.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked SC Braga | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked SC Braga | 24c | 41.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed FC Famalicão | 76c | 36.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed FC Famalicão | 76c | 27.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…8305backed FC Famalicão | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked FC Famalicão | 76c | 24.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked FC Famalicão | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed FC Famalicão | 76c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked FC Famalicão | 76c | 16.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)this page
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)FC Famalicão won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.