Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05ba9435603dbecf8edb62be8c1eb296dd2aa7148648963ec205702a77c2919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 39c | 812.67$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.94 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 24c | 808.89$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.83 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 61c | 800.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Under | 42c | 406.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 55c | 305.33$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 277.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 267.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 41c | 241.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 41c | 237.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 200.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 59c | 199.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 58c | 172.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 54c | 154.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 60c | 149.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 41c | 114.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 60c | 87.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 87.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 43c | 84.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 79.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 60c | 72.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Over | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c3…cc88backed Under | 61c | 59.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 39c | 54.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 40c | 54.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 40c | 48.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 61c | 48.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Under | 61c | 48.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 41c | 46.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 41c | 46.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 41c | 46.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 41c | 46.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 41c | 46.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Over | 43c | 45.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 42.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 38c | 36.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 56c | 34.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 33.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 59c | 28.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Under | 61c | 23.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 61c | 18.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.