Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87df4f22601cfb70fec845d3636aa32ca590475a52ac8c5bb3a590e1eb01cc2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Yes | 30c | 9,768$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 5,787$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.48 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 3,302$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 3,008$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.26 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 60c | 1,627$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.99 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,428$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 1,361$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.9 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 1,172$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,139$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.19 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 60c | 1,139$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.19 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 71c | 772.38$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 18c | 487.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…1dd9backed Yes | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.42per pick | 16cpaid | +242.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…618abacked No | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +275%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 60c | 271.52$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 19c | 247.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 244.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 14c | 237.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 12c | 234.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 31c | 220.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 67c | 217.96$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 197.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77c…ad9bbacked Yes | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 40c | 153.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 33c | 144.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 30c | 127.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 113.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 16c | 106.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 58c | 69.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 21c | 68.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 62c | 64.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 17c | 61.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 53.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Yes | 62c | 53.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 21c | 52.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 50c | 20.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.