TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,418
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,418 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No42c4,524$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.321,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x527c…5f6cbacked Yes33c2,911$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb7…8db0backed Yes67c2,378$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.664100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No32c1,818$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.531,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No34c1,359$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.935,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes47c1,230$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6493652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No33c1,158$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No32c1,058$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.221,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No45c998.37$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.273933.3%13 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+59.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No8c908$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.043666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Yes69c853.47$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.643748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf54…1a62backed Yes69c709.21$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.451560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes55c694.99$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7512861.7%79 W · 49 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes67c455.79$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c448.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3192835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No35c403.4$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1916647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b7…4dcfbacked Yes33c399.79$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…8665backed Yes79c381.93$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.56650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No31c376.49$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.712,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No5c343.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.576434.4%22 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No11c322.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4984347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes68c322.16$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9230548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Yes61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Yes76c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf3…1dd9backed Yes69c283.71$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes45c254.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.385335.8%19 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No33c253.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8110846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x848f…4e46backed Yes69c252.85$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes46c244.08$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.827037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No46c219.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8940448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes54c219$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4936142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes55c214.06$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3315772%113 W · 44 L+33.9wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+63.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbf1d…e193backed Yes69c213.35$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Yes69c208.06$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No37c202.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.774136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No47c199.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6925653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No34c191$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2947155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No66c187.15$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.662268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes67c184.32$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8333452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0976…8f4ebacked Yes68c179.21$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No35c169.4$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6553148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No19c168.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7829425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ab…b36fbacked No35c165.62$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No57c150.14$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.671,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes65c148.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6423347.6%111 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No69c144.84$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.441,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.643943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa025…1607backed Yes69c141.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.091947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes67c131.67$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.454555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No32c130.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.931,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Yes67c128.41$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No31c123.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.841,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb43b…f637backed Yes69c121.67$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.791770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No31c120.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.711729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Yes32c119.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+167.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No64c117.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.291,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c116.94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7482053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No33c115.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0123755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes34c113.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.751827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No24c104.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3789245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No31c104.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2913746.7%64 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes48c103.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6577056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510245.1%46 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes65c97.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.267557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5e…b61abacked Yes66c96.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Yes68c95.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes69c91.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.224654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No31c89.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.98729.9%26 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No32c89.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7818445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes42c88.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes33c88.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0310041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No52c86.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1626348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed No18c75.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.674946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2517545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf70…957bbacked Yes66c70.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Yes34c70.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.612548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e4…cdc1backed Yes69c68.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.361080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No31c67.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1673850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9b…2bf9backed Yes66c67.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes23c61.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.172437.5%9 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+100.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Yes68c60.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+61.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes30c60.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.269942.4%42 W · 57 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Yes51c58.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.731573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaba6…3219backed Yes18c57.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+454.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Yes34c56.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.291241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6df…e2aabacked No37c52.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes67c51.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes76c50.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.245752.6%30 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No56c50.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5221854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes44c50.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2848768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.539954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed No67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.54072.5%29 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3731…4bfabacked Yes53c49.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.15560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes66c48.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Yes66c48.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes66c48.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5334558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.