Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d52e594d07e38b76f3e3b097afbab1559eb83d1aeabb5b4f8f631f35216e9f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,467$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.78 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,424$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,276$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 1,071$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.05 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 1,063$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.12 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 78c | 908.79$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.82 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 78c | 885.16$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 78c | 885.16$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.74 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 29c | 504.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 499.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 205 | 20%41 W · 164 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 7c | 446.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 78c | 379.35$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 201 | 65.7%132 W · 69 L | +28.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 40c | 239.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…8665backed Yes | 48c | 224.71$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 22c | 218$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 45c | 215.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed No | 62c | 205.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 205.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 192.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 191.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…3684backed Yes | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 16c | 145.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 54c | 143.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…1607backed Yes | 10c | 122.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Yes | 16c | 118.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 16c | 118.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 74c | 115.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 14c | 106.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 65c | 101.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 57c | 101.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…e299backed Yes | 14c | 99.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 64c | 98.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 89.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 18c | 83.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 42c | 53.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 37c | 47.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed No | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked No | 63c | 39.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed No | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked No | 62c | 30.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 29.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…3df6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked No | 73c | 19.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.