TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b9b…2bf9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+50.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$23.24
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$37.42
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$14.63
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+188.9%+$26.44
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.56
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$21.51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.03
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$33.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$23.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.