Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae4f70eccff57a41bb43f7bfdd9233b5b2950a08fbc88a0d571471c33e7690a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,576$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.18 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 848.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 75c | 643.12$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 640.45$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.87 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…4dcfbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +462.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 3cpaid | +663.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.38per pick | 6cpaid | +717.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 4c | 372.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.46 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +253.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Over | 40c | 298.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 41c | 296.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 59c | 211.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…ce6abacked Over | 45c | 206.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 66c | 195.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 24c | 194.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Under | 55c | 176.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Under | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Over | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 59c | 151.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 30c | 118.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 24c | 91.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 25c | 75.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 25c | 75.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 25c | 75.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 25c | 75.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 25c | 75.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 156 | 71.8%112 W · 44 L | +33.6wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 37c | 74.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Over | 27c | 73.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 72.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 29c | 59.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 57.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 76c | 56.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 46.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Over | 34c | 43.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 43c | 31.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 64c | 29.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Under | 63c | 29.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 40c | 29.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Under | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 77c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Under | 77c | 23.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 64c | 20.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.