Mls · resolved market
New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c285951dbb298c7294b2bafee3c6ed264adf3633243c660733c4b9b99dd5691
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 5,828$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.27 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,366$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.24 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 1,245$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 47c | 883.79$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 823.14$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.02 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Under | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 53c | 626.88$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.64 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 38c | 454.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.79 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 367.67$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 66c | 320.23$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 43c | 290.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 42c | 287.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 54c | 266.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 41c | 216.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 211.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 48c | 207.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 197.47$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 175.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 65c | 170.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 59c | 167.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 47c | 126.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 57c | 115.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 47c | 96.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 53c | 74.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 25c | 69.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 65.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 60c | 60.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Under | 52c | 60.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 56.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…bc8cbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 41c | 48.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 42c | 47.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 43c | 46.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 45.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 62c | 45.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Over | 66c | 41.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 47c | 40.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -11.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 47c | 39.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed Over | 51c | 38.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Over | 45c | 38.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 64c | 36.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Over | 47c | 25.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 53c | 21.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5this page
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.