Mls · resolved market
New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c30193a6ee5fa8b0fb56ef05615abbf31ff4ecf202d4541fe4bf3b782c2277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 58c | 1,308$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.34 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 1,303$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.57 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 63c | 1,049$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.24 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 42c | 868.33$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 42c | 266.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 51c | 247.11$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…f165backed No | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…083abacked Yes | 58c | 218.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…a349backed No | 42c | 216$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…ebc7backed Yes | 58c | 211.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…8d0dbacked Yes | 58c | 205.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…958abacked No | 42c | 204$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe11…cadabacked Yes | 58c | 201.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…90debacked No | 42c | 197$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 42c | 70.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 80c | 12.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5Under won
- New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)New England Revolution won
- Spread: New England Revolution (-2.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.