TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over43c20,435$8,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,733.29649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over9c4,742$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under57c4,603$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.513553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c4,511$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.913,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under72c3,697$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.331275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under64c1,560$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.824852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over48c1,252$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under57c920$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.62128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under58c740.61$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6115748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under57c671.05$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.559854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over33c598$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.095337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c562$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over30c501.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4852639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over31c499.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556625.8%17 W · 49 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under68c466.67$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over25c397.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003318.2%6 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under57c350$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.512661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over40c317.81$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.254837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12915858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under57c265$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.351,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over36c262$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0919347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over33c239.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over34c232.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4430444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under57c230$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.913948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over19c223.62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4946156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under58c215$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.355750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under58c215$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.368550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c210.6$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8227837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c203$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.691,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8614359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Under58c199.97$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.991662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under57c199.54$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.810755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Under67c190.37$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+90.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over29c180.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1820849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under59c172.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.912254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under60c166.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.524959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under59c151.65$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3678344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.516960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.514257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under57c141.84$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.995056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under57c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.514459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under57c131$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.334949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.612162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over26c113.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6144350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over20c106.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over41c103.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9636051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4315060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4313158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under57c98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.149457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Under41c90.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6715676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under50c86.27$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.148652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under58c86.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.273438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over56c72.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0131158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.114660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over47c67.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7282044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over59c67.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7729460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under57c62.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.475257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c61.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8825934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.518651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over27c49.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010950.5%55 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…e592backed Over53c41.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under59c41.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.811752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…7617backed Under44c40.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c40.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over35c40.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.873452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.216955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.213461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over51c39.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over51c39.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9818774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over51c38.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9822269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x26d3…b856backed Under79c38.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Under38c34.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.221361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Under57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.622352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over43c33.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.636149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c33.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6728851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f8…d11bbacked Over63c31.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.915259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.913560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaccd…befdbacked Over67c29.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a5…7f75backed Over47c29.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.791464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under57c29.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over52c28.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.968971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over51c24.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.486563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe60…c2f7backed Over55c23.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under59c23.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.54151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.