Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf8f184e2d6613c8bde597ef5b38a690299955f9b77486911a449c9caab39874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 2,158$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.01 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 3c | 1,170$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 158 | 72.2%114 W · 44 L | +34.3wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 37c | 529.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 443.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 56c | 339.27$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 54c | 301.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 271.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 8cpaid | +573.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 29c | 123.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 115.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 83.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 70c | 70.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Under | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Under | 40c | 34.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 66c | 16.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Over | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.