Asian League · resolved market
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea690be38b15f112744f7bdedaef939b1046c2488470d32cad27c803086943a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 5,802$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.52 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 5,102$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.53 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 2,848$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.31 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 1,752$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.61 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 57c | 1,750$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 1,508$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.19 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 43c | 429.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 8c | 398.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 348.61$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 46c | 162$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 215 | 52.1%112 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 40c | 102$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Under | 58c | 85.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 83.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Over | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 38c | 49.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 49.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 51c | 32.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…cad6backed Over | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 45c | 24.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Under | 62c | 23.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 69c | 15.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Liaoning Tieren FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.