South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eac47fbfd4dd644c637d5dc7d2752d3dc0cc9b835cf883697b36f190e6ae53a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 44c | 4,153$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.46 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 4,031$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.07 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 3,981$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 1,909$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.11 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 1,217$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,082$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 965.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 48c | 861.03$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.03 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 52c | 584.17$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 442.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 410$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 334.06$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 45c | 299.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 258.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…365abacked Over | 54c | 178.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 143.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…5702backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Over | 45c | 134.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 120.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 115.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Over | 30c | 110.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 109.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 46c | 97.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Under | 49c | 89.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 70c | 77.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…611cbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 59c | 50.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Under | 80c | 45.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Over | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 35c | 39.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 34c | 37.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Over | 45c | 28.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 70c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 57c | 23.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…5782backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.