South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b1acb4c2f6aad9036931b346fcf5118baaa7e5a30106e645e7314ce5d6647a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 58c | 2,535$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,820$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 23c | 1,616$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 43c | 756.41$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 697.23$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.48 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 671.87$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.71 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 79c | 517.95$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.18 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 21c | 517.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.18 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 53c | 513.48$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 428.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 423.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 54c | 379.94$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 283.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 50c | 262.32$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 251.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 205.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Over | 77c | 202.35$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 78c | 198$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 36c | 121.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 63c | 116.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 106$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 56c | 105.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 69c | 77.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Under | 45c | 67.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…57d5backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 52c | 60.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 77c | 55.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…4ad8backed Over | 77c | 52.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 51.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 24c | 47.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 58c | 43.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 45c | 42.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 69c | 39.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Under | 64c | 28.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 53c | 25.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…356abacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 17.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 79c | 16.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 68c | 15.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.