Other European Leagues · resolved market
Falkirk FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258202a5890ff00ae1b289474cb961ae10d642fe569b2b6a6f37123eaad62120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.98 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Under | 36c | 386.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Under | 17c | 289.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…978cbacked Under | 15c | 223.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Under | 13c | 208.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Under | 17c | 184.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 62c | 161.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Under | 34c | 143.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Under | 37c | 131.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Under | 38c | 130.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…e592backed Under | 23c | 126.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 117.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…c2f7backed Under | 37c | 107.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 107.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 37c | 66.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 60.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…f828backed Under | 38c | 36.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda11…25c3backed Under | 50c | 27.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 66c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falkirk FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Falkirk FC vs. Hibernian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Falkirk FC vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.