Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774484a5523c6daa18660566db9b7f397aae877ed426140d624484440fd89dc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 2,220$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.22 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,988$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.93 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 1,109$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 32c | 629$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.16 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 33c | 594$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.93 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 71c | 512.6$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 507.49$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 237.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 74c | 226.42$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 62c | 222.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 22c | 195.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 78c | 177.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 145.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 144.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 78c | 142.18$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 125.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 113.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 66c | 103.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 99.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 21c | 93.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 88.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 83.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 66c | 78.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 63c | 75.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 67.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 74c | 65.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 26c | 64.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 42c | 63.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 69c | 63.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 34c | 61.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 32c | 59.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 30c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 22c | 58.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 28c | 54.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes | 22c | 46.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Yes | 71c | 39.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 37.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed Yes | 72c | 37.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…0803backed Yes | 79c | 28.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed Yes | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…8febbacked Yes | 71c | 16.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.