Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0abb958d6d1ad8643e3975bffb67432928aab4d1c4cd9d6162708a6a31e77bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 3,583$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.52 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 41c | 2,452$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.63 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 59c | 2,278$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 18c | 2,064$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.55 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,995$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.08 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 1,039$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 938.83$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.89 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 48c | 630.75$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.48 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 526$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 59c | 339.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 37c | 253.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…279abacked Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 5c | 243.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 39c | 189.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 185.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 166.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 41c | 117.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 61c | 98.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes | 33c | 91.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 28c | 82.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 81.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…1d87backed Yes | 57c | 66.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 30c | 66.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 65.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 21c | 63.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 54.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 23c | 52.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 79c | 43.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 69c | 39.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 30.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 62c | 29.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 41c | 28.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…7483backed Yes | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932e…6f5abacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 59c | 24.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Yes | 65c | 24.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Yes | 56c | 21.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 64c | 20.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…0eb2backed No | 76c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.